China's economic growth in Disorder

 Note: people tend to institutional quality and economic growth linked to, but does not know that economic growth is often a period of disorder in the system: a disorder who favor extensive system of rapid growth, both by the system disorder polarization produced by the accumulation of capital will help; However, the growth of the system disorder is often not sustainable, will be subject to material resources and social resources of the dual constraints, and improving the social system can only protect the social order continues to expand. Obviously, China's current needs have been to the transformation from disorder to order, when, and is to regain a reference being to the old text.
disorder in China's economic growth
mm in mainstream economics in China Practical Reflection (f)
essence, economics is a social science, and exploration of social science theory is to reveal the hidden essence behind the phenomenon inherent nature, and only realized the essence of things, be that to understand Status set a frame of reference or provide a contrast to the basic direction of development, and analysis on the basis of the current situation can further explore the problem and find the solutions. Therefore, this line of thinking is different from the prevalence of neo-classical economics-based thinking : just based on supply and demand analysis to explain the situation; fact, this so-called pure This idea is also different from the current popularity of Chinese academia thinking: often existing status quo or the Western model as the object of imitation or the development of China's direction; fact, this way of thinking a dollar neglect the development of Western society itself the alienation of their unique characteristics or social background, so not only can not really understand the causes of the Western system, but can not see one of the defects. symbiotic systems theory tells us that the system has the relevant the characteristics of universality and multiplicity, and thus the system must be interconnected between the economic system of the body can be seen as the integrity of each other associated arrangements; and to determine some minor aspects of the system is fundamentally difficult to detect, and These things are a little hidden change will have an enormous butterfly effect. Meanwhile, the system Alienation tell us, due to real factors, the existing system is both more or less alienated, and also a deviation from nature; this means the Western social system itself, there are bound to some defects, such defects may be subject to checks and balances in the West and not obvious, but once transplanted from other environments will be highlighted.
Clearly, the unique requirements of social things We, the phenomenon can not be troubled by the complicated, do not check for a number of hotspots, not superstition in the popular theory, it can not simply copy the so-called often with some popular theories on the West to the current practice of Chinese society prescriptions. But how: Over the past twenty years, by those of mainstream economics, The specific implementation of the reform of all how many are successful? state-owned enterprises, capital markets, financial systems, rural transformation, the distribution of income and even health care, education, insurance, housing, etc. There's a plan of reform, are so; in particular, are the fact that these Since the school began as the promotion of institutional change and economic development, contributors, and has become the darling of the community; However, to date, China's economic growth is achieved in the disorder, based on uncontrolled energy consumption for the price, take a look at this as long as the economy has achieved high growth of the number of hidden behind the profound problems on the line. For example, according to estimates, China's $ 1 each to create the energy consumed is 4.3 times the United States, Germany and France 7.7 times, 11.5 times that of Japan; result, China's GDP in 2005 accounted for only 5% of world GDP, but the oil, coal, crude steel, aluminum, cement and other resource consumption is the world's total consumption accounted for 7.8% , 39.6%, 31.8%, 24.4% and 47.7%. For this reason, as the recent China's environmental and social problems becoming more serious, people began to re-economists in the current role of Chinese society to re-evaluate and reflection.
In fact, China's economic growth and the construction of the market mechanism is not that mainstream economics is basically designed to reform the power, but mainly due to the initiative is to stimulate people; and, by definition of property rights and other human the initiative of the excitation, it is not economists or policy makers who consciously take the initiative to guide the results, but are forced by the results of the social environment. On the contrary, the domestic mainstream economists who accumulated those of Western is already quite mature theory of social justice turning a blind eye to the standard subjective assume that the system is good or bad is not a direct and consistent criteria; but at the same time, but they distort the use of , as long as the cat catches mice is a good These rudimentary economics professor who may know: a lot of historical evidence that the degree of short-term integrity of the system and economic growth is not as significant positive relationship, and that the rapid economic development often occurs in the old system has collapsed The new system has not built up period? For example, we all know, in the control of the Northern Warlords 1914 ~ 1922, China's national industry has achieved rapid development; However, when the system does not have a real improvement, but only relative to the Qing government, the Northern Government's inability to control the situation in the country was forced on the industry deregulation. Again, the United Kingdom in the Industrial Revolution is not a good system (although some may praise the patent system), the general overseas plunder (of course later turned to the control or the trade).
Moreover, the social system is not good or bad there is no standard, because the social system is fundamentally to the social forces, integration of various resources, adjusting the interest, easing social conflicts, which can promote the continued expansion of the social order; is clear that in each of these economic development period, the rapid intensification of social contradictions are, have caused the extreme polarization of society between rich and poor, so based on this standard, we can say social system in a state of anomie, of course, is not good. Obviously, the reason why each of these periods can obtain economic development, and basically linked to specific social conditions, rather than a specific improvement of the social system; for example, Northern Warlords economic growth from the time World War, and Britain's economic growth was the main thing is to rely on colonial plunder, the Netherlands is the full use of geographical discovery set off by sea trade boom. Clearly, the current Chinese economic development is the main stems from the changing international situation, the new wave of globalization and the relaxation of state control, if not the wave of international economic integration, there is no global diffusion of technology, it is impossible to achieve such economic growth; fact, every time the West embargo on China's economy or sanctions, while the domestic economy will lead to depression or recession, and every time the Chinese market, expand the world economy will bring a new economic development opportunities. Therefore, China's economic development and not much is really ; mainstream , as then told Smith that the same people and the British royal family; course, this seems hardly a credit to the current Chinese economists, because economic theory or in practice have shown that a large number of market failures, but so far not an economist to analyze the role of the market run. For this reason, we say that, despite the overall development of China's economy, but not already have a relatively sound social system; the contrary, but now appears a spontaneous and chaotic growth, with the rest of the world starting on the country's history through the course is very similar.
However, despite the disorder in a given period is to promote economic growth, but growth has serious flaws. the one hand, the growth was mainly disordered by the extensive resources into the actuator is no developmental growth, this growth momentum is necessarily limited, if you do not realize the transformation from disorder to order, then will eventually become stagnant and social development; in fact, Many of the world of moderately developed countries when per capita GDP reached 4,000 U.S. dollars, the economic development potential can not keep up, is that the development of extensive depletion of their resources. For example, Krugman pointed out that output growth in the traditional socialist is no cause to promote and respected, because it is mainly the result of extensive investment and as such, because age the development of emerging countries in East Asia as well, in the Industrial Revolution in Western economic take-off, too, China's reform and opening up access to the current economic growth even more so; Therefore, we can not simply judge based on the rate of growth of the merits of the system. On the other hand, due to social disorder, resulting in strong or opportunistic those who have made social growth from most of the benefits, making an unreasonable distribution of social wealth and social justice are increasingly gone, which will ultimately lead to social conflicts and sudden interruption of the path leading to economic growth; in fact, though the Chinese economy has long been close to 10% in average annual growth rate, but this development is very uneven, often a big play or big drop, forming a periodic cold thermal cycling, which is both social stability and economic development have caused adverse effects. Therefore, the sustainable development of any society are faced with a shift from extensive to intensive, from disorder to disorder transition, which is also a social system the process of gradual improvement, people should have the right to gradually improve and keep pace with the growth of national wealth in the process; Clearly, Europe has no foreign competition in the case of 200 to 300 years after a gradual shift over the period, East Asia (such as Korea , Taiwan) some of the countries experienced a certain amount of pain has been greatly after the adjustment. However, the traditional socialist planned economy has not done very well this adjustment, which limits the growth in the economy after appears to expose social conflicts; Similarly, although China's reform and opening up for economic growth has injected new vitality, but without the corresponding conversion, social contradictions will one day burst.
Toffler warned long ago, ; only those with the least internal disorder and chaos to complete the third wave of countries in transition, to win the global competition History has proven this point, nearly 30 years, especially in China nearly 10 years of reform has exposed the problem illustrates this point: In China, people should have rights and economic growth has taken place between a serious departure from the . China, some scholars and government officials generally hope that through continuous economic growth will ease the people's aspirations corresponding entitlements, but that can fundamentally solve the problem? Obviously, from a historical point of view, the Bismarck of Germany, France Guizot, South Korea The Park Chung Hee, Taiwan's Chiang Ching-kuo and even hope that Britain's Margaret Thatcher are all supplied with the increasing material and solve all questions in an attempt to replace the supply with the welfare of civil rights; However, almost all of their attempts failed, once the power is not weakened or again, the whole society into chaos began, the economy will continue to develop the course, impossible. Therefore, as the post-developing country, China could have been there to fully from previous lessons learned, as Feng Xingyuan pointed out, others through the detour, we do not go; others are not so far come, we do not go; others through the shortcut, we still go; others not through the shortcut, we have to take the lead. To understand the experience of other countries and lessons provided, the nature of things must be in-depth theoretical thinking; But now, scholars do not think the blind tend to draw a direct experience of other countries, the results are out but not black and white clear. In fact, as in Germany where the dream pen to point out, who reported their own political views, but not play the role of reflecting the objective information. For example in China, who called for the establishment of some form of social security system, you will be happy to praise the German social market active in the corresponding achievements in social security; such as Who in the United States complained about the cost of health care system on the increase, the German health care system will emphasize how the social security system is filled with many problems. This makes it difficult to get a clear picture. awareness, interest and interest of the two closely intertwined often based on the so-called historicist view, the reality of China's past history with the West compared to the previous two centuries of Western standards to ourselves that a widening income gap, poverty and social contradiction of the phenomenon are economic development only way, it is normal and reasonable; they often will say: You see, the West has also been the case, so the current situation emerged in China do what all the fuss? Furthermore, mainstream economics on the theory of income distribution not have an inverted U-law? This is the law of economic development it! And if you should care about social justice, tackling poverty, then it will have to fair and Sheque efficiency, will inevitably lead to the impoverishment of society as a whole, Because mainstream economics tells us that fairness and efficiency is antinomy it! but lovely and ignorant economists: Who told you the efficiency and fairness are not compatible? is Okun it? but you do not mistakenly think the average or fair equal, although the meaning of fairness is very wide, but the intent to obtain on their own efforts, or that the proceeds from exploitation, so that a fair understanding of the efforts of the people necessarily the most inspiring, which is also bound and efficiency are compatible. and Who told you inverted U-is the inevitable law of income distribution? is Kuznets it? But, you know, the Kuznets hypothesis derived only on the basis of the laissez-faire, market mechanisms are in the case of imperfect power of the game entirely by the results. You do not want the current reality of China and Western classical period of the comparison? but you know how many classical economists, was to follow in case of no work experience to explore social justice, and actively promote the reform of the social system? In fact, precisely because it makes their efforts now that the West is relatively mature and stable social system, they also accumulated for future generations such a valuable experience; However, the current mainstream economists who are not care, but also the current situation of China and the United Kingdom and the United States during the Enlightenment period of colonization by comparing them to re-take the road of time, which is the contribution of economists!